Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Health Care and Social Assistance Employment Growth
Across Washington Counties
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
Washington:
2010-2022 = 2.31%
2022 = 1.62%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of health care and social assistance employment growth across all of Washington's 39 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Washington Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the health care and social assistance employment growth of Washington's 39 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Health Care and Social Assistance
Employment Growth
Washington:
2010-2022 = 2.31%
2022 = 1.62%
This figure displays the 39 counties of Washington as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the health care and social assistance employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term health care and social assistance employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.31%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.31% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.31%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 0 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 0 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 0 counties whose most recent (2022) health care and social assistance employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.62%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 0 counties whose health care and social assistance employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 39 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.31% over 2010-2022 and 1.62% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.31%) and near-term (1.62%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.31%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Washington average (1.62%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.31%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.62%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.31%) and near-term (1.62%).
   
 
Summary of Washington's 39 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.62%)
Above
(1.62%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.31%)
0
0
0
Below
(2.31%)
0
0
0
 
0
0
0
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Washington:
2010-2022 = 2.31%
2022 = 1.62%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Washington counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Washington's average annual health care and social assistance employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.31%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.62%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Washington's 39 counties, 7 (18%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Washington:
2010-2022 = 2.31%
2022 = 1.62%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 4 Washington counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.31%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 1.62%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 4 (10%) of Washington's 39 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Washington:
2010-2022 = 2.31%
2022 = 1.62%
This figure shows the distribution of the 2 Washington counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.31%), while they outpaced Washington's average near-term (2022 = 1.62%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Washington's 39 counties, only 5% (2) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Washington:
2010-2022 = 2.31%
2022 = 1.62%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 13 Washington counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual health care and social assistance employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.31%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.62%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual health care and social assistance employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
33% of Washington's counties, 13 of 39, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Washington
Health Care and Social Assistance Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
1
4.60
 
5
2.59
15,991
 
4
3.51
 
1
4.65
32,060
 
2
4.17
 
6
2.58
3,983
 
3
3.62
 
2
4.56
3,694
 
10
2.36
 
8
1.97
181,230
 
9
2.36
 
3
4.02
1,578
 
8
2.62
 
9
1.72
60,169
Slipping Counties
 
5
3.32
 
22
-0.69
578
 
7
2.65
 
26
-1.19
4,563
 
6
2.72
 
18
0.60
40,987
 
11
2.32
 
19
0.51
18,676
Gaining Counties
 
18
1.52
 
4
3.33
2,699
 
17
1.94
 
7
2.56
19,265
Lagging Counties
 
12
2.27
 
11
1.60
7,487
 
23
0.88
 
15
0.91
3,547
 
21
1.41
 
21
-0.03
6,784
 
13
2.07
 
29
-2.41
1,136
 
26
-0.70
 
27
-1.72
1,202
 
24
0.67
 
14
1.07
14,317
 
20
1.41
 
30
-3.49
1,523
 
14
2.07
 
13
1.31
1,930
 
22
0.96
 
25
-1.08
640
 
25
0.31
 
24
-1.03
6,169
 
15
1.98
 
17
0.69
49,476
 
16
1.95
 
10
1.62
14,747
 
19
1.44
 
12
1.41
1,946
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
927
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,821
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
39
 
U
U
 
20
0.21
3,363
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
-0.87
682
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
206
 
U
U
 
28
-2.19
2,184
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
0.85
4,877
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.31
 
1.62
511,226
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.78
 
2.41
23,545,500
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_511600_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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